2016-2017 Arsenal Report Prediction League
Before every game you can now predict the outcome (win/draw/loss) and climb the leaderboards over the season and win a prize at the end! Anyone can join Arsenal Report in 30 seconds and start predicting. Prizes haven't been determined yet, but we'll have stuff for the top three predictors.
Rules:
To avoid people just making one accurate prediction and then stop (staying on 100% until the end), we will look at your attendance throughout the season (your predictions / number of matches played) and filter out people below a certain attendance. However, this is calculated based on when you registered, so new users can join mid-season and still be in the running. Attendance minimum will likely be around 60-70%.
To avoid people just joining before the last game of the season, we require the predictors to have made a minimum number of predictions throughout the season. Minimum will likely be around 6-10 predictions.
Don't be an arsehole. It's very easy for us to spot exploits.
That's it, start predicting! You can always find the next upcoming game on the home page.
I'll put together an overview to go on people's profiles so you can see exactly how you've predicted games in the past. Will help to see if anything has gone wrong as well.
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Percentage is correct....you've made six predictions, of which three were wrong.
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Thought I had 2 wrong. Oh well...
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I'll put together an overview to go on people's profiles so you can see exactly how you've predicted games in the past. Will help to see if anything has gone wrong as well.
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How about 2 leagues? 1 for people who have predicted every game and the other for those who haven't....
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Yeah I am thinking about splitting it up somehow. Doesn't have to be 100% attendance as it's easy to miss a couple of games during a season...but could have one for 90%, one for 70%, one for 50%, etc.
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I'm a stats geek so I'd love to see where we - as a community of Arsenal fans - are overly optimistic or pessimistic.
eg. are we overly optimistic about home games?
Perhaps that could go somewhere on a prediction stats page. Though I'm sure you have more than enough on your plate!
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Interesting. That could definitely be done mid-season so we have enough data.
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Fix some algorithm to degrade players who don't have a 100% attendance. This is a disgrace.
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Don't worry, it will all be fixed.
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Added a minimum 10 predictions needed to be on the leaderboard.
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Prediction leaderboard now requires a 50% attendance.
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Oops did I make the wrong selection vs. Southampton?!? If so, ugh... oh well. Need to be more careful.
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Too easy.
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You can now see your entire prediction history on your profile page. I'll build it out further in the future with better stats and such.
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How do I change my prediction? I accidentally tapped this on my mobile phone. Definitely would not have intentionally chosen the one that I selected.
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Is this possible? Right now it has me as picking Stoke. Wanted to pick us of course!
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Well then! The season is over, and the final prediction top 5 is as follows:
Have to say, a 71% accuracy on a 93% attendance is pretty impressive from DJ. Next season I'm gonna start ranking the toplist with attendance in mind. DJ should really be first on that list.
Thanks for playing. If anyone has any ideas on how to improve the Predict-A-Tron for next season, let me know!
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Should increase the threshold of attendance to be on the Prediction Leaderboard..
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I would agree with that, but we also don't want to scare people off. If attendance was better weighted, it should be enough.
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