The Expected Goals (ExpG/xG) method and a prediction league table

Brilliant addition to the site. I, as you all know, champion in all things football but my job doesn't give me enough time to get involved in this.

Brilliant addition to the site. I, as you all know, champion in all things football but my job doesn't give me enough time to get involved in this.

Either way, if you do get a moment to look it through, any feedback or suggestions would be greatly appreciated.

I checked your expected league table. It has Spurs finishing 3rd so I assume your formula or algorithm doesn't take into account the wheels coming off.

Can we get snapshot of the league updates, like weekly ?

Can we get snapshot of the league updates, like weekly ?

The idea in the near future is to break it down by round, so you can go down into detail or time spans.

The idea in the near future is to break it down by round, so you can go down into detail or time spans.

Thats what i was looking for. I love this neat things you are adding.

Was wondering if you will add the other league tables. And, some kind of average league performance, and top teams compare to the league average, with "expected performance".

Not sure if i'm able to express what i want, or make sense. Take for example La liga, after first 5 teams there is huge drop in performance from the rest of the teams compare to EPL where 10-12 teams hold up better. So Barcelona goal or expected goal in such league is worth less. Now i don have time to average everything, and la liga has 2 games less then EPL so that may be the factor of my wrong assumption.

Not sure if i'm able to express what i want, or make sense. Take for example La liga, after first 5 teams there is huge drop in performance from the rest of the teams compare to EPL where 10-12 teams hold up better. So Barcelona goal or expected goal in such league is worth less. Now i don have time to average everything, and la liga has 2 games less then EPL so that may be the factor of my wrong assumption.

Gotcha. Both xGs and teams should be differently weighted based on who the previous goals have been scored or conceded against. If a team concedes a lot of goals that are from "weak" shot zones, we could draw the conclusion that it's not a great defensive team.

Other leagues have to wait for this, but could definitely experiment with this type of ranking on the Premier League table, and then take weak/strong xGs into account for the prediction league.