2016-2017 Arsenal Report Prediction League
Before every game you can now predict the outcome (win/draw/loss) and climb the leaderboards over the season and win a prize at the end! Anyone can join Arsenal Report in 30 seconds and start predicting. Prizes haven't been determined yet, but we'll have stuff for the top three predictors.
Rules:
To avoid people just making one accurate prediction and then stop (staying on 100% until the end), we will look at your attendance throughout the season (your predictions / number of matches played) and filter out people below a certain attendance. However, this is calculated based on when you registered, so new users can join mid-season and still be in the running. Attendance minimum will likely be around 60-70%.
To avoid people just joining before the last game of the season, we require the predictors to have made a minimum number of predictions throughout the season. Minimum will likely be around 6-10 predictions.
Don't be an arsehole. It's very easy for us to spot exploits.
That's it, start predicting! You can always find the next upcoming game on the home page.
I'll put together an overview to go on people's profiles so you can see exactly how you've predicted games in the past. Will help to see if anything has gone wrong as well.
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Mourinho's head on a stick
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I have contacted a hit man, he's gonna get back to me with a quote.
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Updated the leaderboards to now be sorted by accuracy score!
http://www.arsenalreport.com/leaderboards
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Strange. I have predicted on each of the prior games (been wrong both times), but am not listed. Am I doing something incorrect on it?
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Good chance that if you have a 0% accuracy you won't show up.
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I've done this before. Send me his address. I have 99% success rate. My only target that got away was Osama. The Americans beat me to it.
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Updated the prediction league table to now only display the ones that have made at least three predictions. Also added a form guide (last 5 predictions) and attendance:
Prediction Leaderboards
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Great change. Looks much better at the moment. :)
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Darl Jenkinson, I'm coming for you!
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I'm 4th. (I don't recognize the cowards who only predicted 4/5) To be fair there's no point in me playing this.... I only predict Arsenal wins.
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Maybe I should change my name. If I do, can I still make a prediction against West Ham?
And WTF does saimpot stand for?
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Shit, I forgot to vote.
Well, it's a childhood nickname that kinda stuck.
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Btw, I think you have to also include another check in your algorithm.
Person A ranks higher, which I think is unfair. I think it would be more fair to count the rows in the database which collect the match events (5 rows currently) and either include the people who have placed predictions for 70% or more of the rows (rounded up or down, your choice) OR give more gravity to the votes of the people who have more participation.
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So that already happens, but there hasn't been enough matches for it to reflect on the leaderboard yet. You're going to need a certain attendance ratio, and I'm going to set the minimum required predictions to at least ten over the season.
I know it's harder to predict 31 correct games out of 45 (68.8%) than it is to predict seven correct games out of ten (70%)...but the only other way to do it is to lock out people from joining mid-season which is a bit boring - maybe you only learn about the prediction league in December and now you have to wait until August to play.
This is a constant problem in all football-related games really...how do you allow people to join halfway through a season and still let them have a chance to compete.
Maybe the answer is to divide the leaderboard into four leagues:
That way you have people competing against others in a similar tier.
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whats the latest you can predict before the game starts?
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You can predict all the way up to a second before official kick-off time.
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I predicted our win against hull but I have a huge red X for some reason...
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Fixed!
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Thanks. Its fixed but my % is messed up now. Am I being sabotaged?
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